POLL: Swing state voters still favor Trump over Biden after guilty verdict

Good news. A poll just out shows that former President Trump still leads Biden in the all important, election-deciding swing states, even after the guilty verdict that came in.

The New York Post reported:

“Former President Donald Trump maintained his lead over President Biden among nearly 2,000 swing state voters after the guilty verdict in his Manhattan hush money trial, according to a new poll.”

Trump, 77, held a 1 point edge over Biden, 81, when 1,897 participants in a previous New York Times/Siena College survey of voters in six battleground states were recontacted between June 3-4.

However, the presumptive Republican nominee for president suffered a modest drop in support, with his 48%-45% lead over the incumbent from April and May polling falling to a slim 47%-46% advantage.

Trump retained 93% of the voters who backed him in the earlier survey, with 3% indicating they now support Biden and 4% shifting to undecided.

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Young, nonwhite and disengaged Democratic-leaning voters were the most likely to abandon Trump in the wake of his guilty verdict, the survey found.

Trump also lost 20% of voters who responded that they disliked both of the 2024 presidential candidates.

Meanwhile, Biden retained 96% of his supporters when recontacted by the pollster.

More than 1.5% of former Biden supporters indicated that they would vote for Trump despite his conviction on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records.

Only 3% of Biden supporters said after the verdict that they moved from ”unlikely to vote” to “almost certain” to do so, compared to 18% for Trump backers.

The New York Times/Siena College survey findings come one day after a post-verdict poll of Michigan voters also saw Trump maintaining his lead over Biden.

The Mitchell-Michigan News Source Poll found the former president ahead of the incumbent by 0.6 points in a head-to-head matchup and by 1.2 points in a five-way race with third-party candidates.

Yahoo News came out with a poll also, but ran with the headline, “New Yahoo News/YouGov poll: After Trump felony conviction, Biden leads for 1st time in months — but not by much.”

The Yahoo poll did not look at swing states, but the generic national support level which we know does not determine the outcome of presidential elections.

If Trump maintains his lead in the swing states, the former president will defeat Biden, and there may be hope for America.

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